Overview

Malaysia's economy is expected to moderate with
the Leading Index recording 112.4 points in February 2025

The annual performance of the Leading Index (LI) registered 112.4 points in February 2025, reflecting a marginal decline of 0.004 points, primarily attributable to a substantial contraction in the Number of Housing Units Approved (-34.5%) and followed by the Real Imports of Other Basic Precious & Other Non-ferrous Metals (-21.5%). In terms of monthly performance, the LI recorded a decline of 0.2 per cent in February 2025, indicating  modest negative as compared to the previous month (January 2025: -1.1%). This was primarily bolstered by a 0.5 per cent increase in
Real Imports of Semi Conductors.

Looking at the smoothed long-term trend in February 2025, the LI remained below 100.0 points. Nevertheless, Malaysia’s economy is expected to remain moderate supported by strong economic fundamentals despite facing global uncertainties, leading to complex spillover effects.

Meanwhile, the Coincident Index (CI) which measures the overall current economic performance rose by 2.0 per cent to 144.8 points in February 2025 as compared to 124.7 points in the corresponding month a year before. This improvement was contributed by widespread increases across all components of the CI. At the same time, the monthly performance of the CI increased by 1.9 per cent in February 2025, rebounding from a 1.4 per cent drop in the previous month. This notable recovery was driven by a 2.3 per cent rise in the Capacity Utilisation in Manufacturing, which represented the highest increase among the contributing components.

The Diffusion Index for LI and CI showed an increase in February 2025, recording 28.6 per cent and 66.7 per cent respectively compared to 14.3 per cent and 50.0 per cent in the previous month.

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Baharudin Mohamad

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Email: baharudin[at]dosm.gov.my

Phone: 03 8885 7942

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